Sunday, 23 December 2012
23/12/2012 ; FCPO 60 min chart ; 2409 ; BULLISH. This week ended up 100 pts after opening gap-up also 100 pts ( coincidence?) Monday, then consolidated mid-week but recorded a higher high and a higher low. Ended the week with a positive note forming a 'rising wedge' chart-pattern after making a 'reversal divergence' earlier. BULLISH as long price is within the wedge. BEARISH if breaks downwards.
Monday, 3 September 2012
3/9/2012; FCPO -3073; BULLISH; Fcpo opened gap-up today & broke above the 'bearish pennant' and continue to close near the highs of the day. From a pennant it now formed a 'bearish flag'. Price is now above moving averages.It will be bullish as long as price within flag. Bearish if break down. Meanwhile Soybean also opened higher at the European market.
Saturday, 1 September 2012
1/9/2012 ; FCPO 3019 ; SIDEWAY TO LOWER. Fcpo ended the week lower at 3019 after recovering 300 points to the high of 3122, from the low of 2820 recorded on the 14/8/2012. Prices are now at a 'neutral' position, in between the moving averages. It now formed a 'bearish pennant' which usually breaks down. If price breaks down its bearish. If breaks up, its bullish. In the meantime soybean oil is also consolidating.
Wednesday, 15 August 2012
15/8/2012 ; FCPO 2862 ; SIDEWAYS to downside biased. Fcpo sideways the last 3 trading days with not much movement forming a 'pennant' within a bigger 'BULLISH FLAG'. Not much excitement is expected in the coming days ahead of an extended weekend due to public holidays where FCPO is expected to find a neutral point to park. Bullish if breakout upwards from the pennant. Bearish if breakdown.
Wednesday, 8 August 2012
8/8/2012 ; FCPO 2864 ; Turned bearish. Breakdown from the falling wedge and back into the bigger bullish flag formation.The breakup from the falling wedge didn't materialize. Next support will be the critical 2840 level. If that is breached more bearish momentum is expected. Meanwhile the reversal divergence still persist which suggests that some upside correction is expected.
Saturday, 4 August 2012
Sunday, 29 July 2012
Thursday, 10 May 2012
Wednesday, 9 May 2012
Tuesday, 1 May 2012
1/5/2012 ; 3471 ; SIDEWAY STILL
FCPO is in sideway mode confirming the formation of a 'pennant' from a 'bearsh flag' earlier. It will stay sideways until it breaks out. If it breaks out above it's bullish. If it breaks out below it's bearish.
Wednesday, 25 April 2012
25/4/2012; 60 min chart; 3511 -BULLISH
Bullish? yes - but not out of the woods yet until market closes above 3523. FCPO broke out above the 'falling wedge' near closing today and closed at the highs of the day. Still lower than monday's high of 3523 which until then, market may not confirm yet that its bullish ( correction over ). It's now within the 'bearish flag' and as long it's within it, it is bullish. If breakdown, it is bearish. If break up, it is strong.
Tuesday, 24 April 2012
24/4/2012 ; 60min chart ; 3463 ; SIDEWAY
Nothing much I can do for now. Since I was stopped out, I'm staying aside for the moment until clearer directions are given. I am not even sure which formation the market is going to follow, the 'falling wedge or the 'bearish flag'.
Monday, 23 April 2012
23/2/2012 ; 15 min chart ; 3475 . SIDEWAY TO LOWER
I was stopped out again this time at 3499 when 15 min chart gave a sell signal. FCPO went sideway to lower after opening higher but lost the upward momentum and closed near the lows of the day. I guess correction is not over yet until it closed above yesterday's closing.
Saturday, 21 April 2012
21/4/2012 ; 15 min chart ; 3500 ; BULLISH
Correction over? Seems market correction is over due to 50 points push up during last 30 min before Friday's closing. Market is bullish after a week of pull-back. I even had the opportunity to add another long position when it broke-up from the wedge.
Thursday, 19 April 2012
19/4/2012; 60 min chart ; 3477 - A typical whipsaw day for a trader.
A typical day of reversals as a result of trying to catch the bottom of a market! From a long, reversed to short, then reversed back to long. I guess this is what real trading feels like.
19/4/2012 ; 60 min chart ; 3479 ; Sideway to higher.
Consolidation phase ; market made some correction this week after surging quite strongly the week before. It has formed a ' bearish flag' which if the price is within the flag, it's bullish. If it breaks down, it's bearish. If it breaks up, it's strong.
Monday, 16 April 2012
16/4/2012 ; 3510 ; BEARISH.
I was stopped out last Friday when it broke down the major support line after quite some time in the market [ since 23/3/2012 ]. It also crossed over below all moving averages. For now it's not sure whether it's going to do a reversal or just a major correction. Maybe today it will confirm the next market direction.
Friday, 13 April 2012
Wednesday, 11 April 2012
11/4/2012 ; 60 min chart ; 3621; Bullish - still holding longs.
FCPO made some correction the last 2 trading days but recovered all the losses and in-fact made a new high in the process. It 'broke down' the 'rising wedge' formation monday 2nd session but recovered and recorded a new higher high tuesday 2nd session. It now formed a 'bearish flag' which if the price is still within the flag, it's bullish. If it breaks down, it's bearish.
Monday, 9 April 2012
9/4/2012 ; Soyabean oil daily chart ; 56.94
Soybean oil made a new high this morning, in fact it broke above the 'rising wedge' formation indicating signs of a renewed strength in price movement.
Saturday, 7 April 2012
7/4/2012 ; Soybean daily bar chart.
A picture shows a thousand words. Food for thought. If the chart of soybeans looks like that. Can FCPO make a pattern just like that?
Friday, 6 April 2012
Wednesday, 4 April 2012
4/4/2012 ; 60 min chart ; 3557
Bullish still ; even though open lower, but still recorded a new higher high and higher low and closed above all moving averages. In-fact a new stronger channel line was established.
Monday, 2 April 2012
2/4/2012 ; 60 min chart ; 3532
Bullish still. Open gap-up and recorded a new higher high due to soy oil's strength closing last friday. Brake above both the bullish flag and the falling wedge and closed near the highs above the moving averages.
2/4/2012 ; 60 min char ; 3433
Market correction almost over. Formed a 'bullish flag' within a 'falling wedge'. Bearish if still within flag or wedge. Bullish if breakout above. I have entered another long position last friday anticipating market may move higher this week.
Friday, 23 March 2012
60 min chart ; 3426
Bullish - Renewed strength with very high volume indicates correction is over and recorded a new higher high. Market has 'rebounded' after a 'pullback' gives opportunity to re-enter long position. The price has gone above all the Moving Averages. Support ; 3418 ,3383, 3359. Resistance ; 3464,3489 , 3532.
Thursday, 23 February 2012
23/2/2012 ; 60 min chart ; 3272.
Broke down but made u-turn! May turn back to bullish if tonight's soya oil price gains. Support ;3245, 3202, 3170. Resist; 3294, 3305, 3385. Range target; 3245 - 3355.
Wednesday, 22 February 2012
22/2/2012 ; 60 min chart ; 3250.
Bearish - start of a correction. Recorded a new high of 3294 before 'water-falling', all in the last couple of hours. Broke down from the 'bearish flag' and turned bearish and closed at the lows of the day with a fairly higher volume. Support ; 3230, 3202, 3170. Resist; 3294, 3305. 3385.
22/1/2012 ; 60 min chart ; 3268. ( LATE REPORT)
Sideways - still within 'bearish flag' even though not making new highs. Looks 'toppish' at the moment but today's close may confirm. Support; 3255,3230, 3202. Resist; 3276, 3305. 3385. Range target ; 3240 - 3280.
Monday, 20 February 2012
18/1/2012- 60 min chart ; 3245
Bullish - still within the 'bearish flag' charting a higher high of 3276 and a higher low albeit a lower volume. Open gap up but closed near the lows of the day. Market seems 'out of breath' at the closing after opening very strong. Support ; 3220, 3202, 3171. Resist; 3276, 3305, 3385. Range target; 3220 - 3310.
Saturday, 18 February 2012
Friday, 17 February 2012
17/2/12 ; 60 min chart ; 3242
Still bullish but was stopped out. Price is still within 'bearish flag' . Charted a higher high and higher low. Support ; 3220, 3205, 3171. Resist ;3255, 3270, 3285. Range target ; 3220 - 3275.
17/2/12 ; 3189
60 min chart; Pullback but still within 'bearish flag'. As long as price is within flag, it's bullish. Support; 3171, 3142, 3118. Resist; 3213, 3244, 3270. Range target; 3180 - 3240
Thursday, 16 February 2012
16/2/2012 ; 60 min chart ; 3197
Bullish still. Even though closed lower, but recorded higher high and higher low. Price is still within the 'bearish flag' and above both moving averages. Support ; 3171, 3142, 3118. Resist ; 3244,3270,3300. Range target ; 3194 - 3260. Upside target ; 3372.
Wednesday, 15 February 2012
15/2/2012; 60 min chart; 3205
Bullish- recorded a higher high and higher low and closed at high of the day with moderate volume. FCPO now forming a 'bearish flag' and as long as the price is within the flag it's bullish. If it breakdown its bearish. Support; 3171,3142, 3118. Resist; 3244, 3270,3300. Range target;3170-3245. Upside target; 3372.
Thursday, 2 February 2012
2/2/2012; FCPO - 3056
Open higher but closed lower recorded a lower low of 3036 but a higher high with slightly higher volume. Market is still within the 'falling wedge'. Bearish if price within wedge or break down, bullish if break up. Support; 3020, 2980, 2914. Resist; 3110, 3146, 3190. Range target; 3025 - 3090.
Tuesday, 31 January 2012
31/1/12; FCPO- 3178.
Opened gap down and recorded a new low of 3044 and lower high even though closed off the highs. Chart pattern now forming a new enlarged 'falling wedge'. Market will be sideways to lower if within wedge, bearish if break down, bullish if break up. Support; 3044,3020, 2980. Resist; 3100, 3146, 3190. Range target; 3030-3082.
Monday, 30 January 2012
30/1/12; 60 min chart.; FCPO -3082
Broke down from the 'bearish flag' at the opening and bearish at both sessions today. Recording a new lower low of 3179 and closed near the lows with comparatively larger volume. From a 'bearish flag' now forming a 'falling wedge'. Support; 3052,3020,2980 . Resist; 3128, 3190,3205.
Saturday, 28 January 2012
28/1/12 ; 60 min chart
3135 ; Market moved in a tight range with lesser volume still after succumbed to selling pressure the day before due to negative export figures. From a rising wedge now forming a bearish flag. Market direction will be side way for now until prices breakout from the flag. Support; 3097. 3052, 3020. Resist; 3190, 3205, 3244.
Friday, 27 January 2012
27/1/12 - 60 min chart ; 3131
Open higher but closed near the lows of the day. from a rising wedge, broke down and now formed a bearish flag. bullish if price within flag, bearish if break down. support; 3097, 3078. 3052. resistant; 3176, 3190, 3205.
Friday, 20 January 2012
20/1/12 - FCPO ; 3160
BORING! Not much movement coupled with lack of volume. Market is heading nowhere with all the wrong signals ahead of a long week-end. Support; 3143, 3097, 3052. Resistant; 3086, 3205, 3144.
Thursday, 19 January 2012
18/1/2012- 60 min chart
3180 ; closed at the high of the day after trading lower earlier. recorded a higher low and higher high. market looks bullish at the moment still not out of the woods yet. support ; 3143, 3097, 3052. resistant ; 3186; 3205; 3244.
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